Ray Dalio, the American billionaire and founder of Bridgewater Associates, has released a new book focused on sovereign debt.
In a post shared on X (formerly Twitter) on May 15, Dalio announced the publication of How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle.
The book explores how national debt crises unfold, influenced by long-term economic cycles and structural weaknesses.
Dalio emphasized that the U.S. government’s debt problem may be the most serious threat facing the country today.
How Countries Go Broke Explains Indicators and Preventive Measures
Dalio wrote the book to shed light on the mechanisms behind national bankruptcy and potential safeguards.
“My book explains the mechanisms and indicators clearly, showing what can be done to prevent collapse,” he said.
He added that it also aims to help individuals understand how to protect themselves during economic downturns.
The title focuses on economic history, cycles of debt, and how power structures interact during fiscal crises.
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Trump Administration Compared to 1930s Right-Wing Authoritarianism
In a particularly striking section, Dalio critiques the legacy of former President Donald Trump.
He draws parallels between Trump’s approach to governance and authoritarian leaders from the 1930s.
Dalio notes that Trump’s efforts to consolidate presidential power ignored institutional checks and balances.
He argues that Trump was even more aggressive in pursuing executive control than historical figures like Andrew Jackson or Franklin D. Roosevelt.
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Aggressive Leaders Use Media and Law to Silence Opposition
Dalio observes that during times of conflict, aggressive leaders often manipulate laws to gain special powers.
Such leaders tend to seize control of media to promote government-aligned narratives and suppress dissent.
He warns that worsening conflicts often lead to laws that directly target opposition groups and individuals.
Dalio questions whether Trump fits the definition of a demagogue — someone who gains power through emotion and fear.
Dalio Defines Demagogues as Emotionally Manipulative Political Figures
In his analysis, Dalio outlines how demagogues use public fear and prejudice to secure support.
He stresses that this pattern has emerged repeatedly throughout history during periods of economic stress.
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His warning implicitly links economic collapse with the rise of emotionally charged authoritarian leaders.
Dalio does not directly label Trump a demagogue but poses the question as a framework for reader reflection.
Publication Gains Attention Amid Rumors of Dalio’s Resignation in Indonesia
The book’s release coincides with widespread speculation regarding Dalio’s position in Indonesia’s sovereign wealth agency.
Recent reports claimed that Dalio resigned from the Advisory Board of the Daya Anagata Nusantara (Danantara) fund.
Danantara’s CEO Rosan Roeslani has publicly denied the rumorsn surrounding Dalio’s alleged resignation.
Speaking to reporters on May 28 at the Presidential Palace in Jakarta, Rosan clarified that Dalio remains on the board.
Danantara CEO Affirms Dalio’s Continued Role in Advisory Board
“I just met his team last week, including his son Mark Dalio,” Rosan told reporters.
According to Rosan, discussions with Dalio’s team remain smooth and productive, including recent Zoom meetings.
“There is no resignation. It’s not true. Dalio is still on our advisory board,” Rosan insisted.
Dalio’s strategic insights are considered valuable to Indonesia’s growing investment management sector.
Debt Crisis, Political Power, and Economic Cycles Converge in Dalio’s Book
Ray Dalio’s book urges readers to understand the deep connection between national debt and political instability.
The analysis reflects his long-standing concern about unsustainable borrowing and fiscal irresponsibility.
By blending historical patterns with current U.S. trends, Dalio encourages proactive awareness and personal preparedness.
His work comes at a time when America’s debt ceiling debates continue to fuel national and global anxiety.***
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